Phoenix, Tucson Rank Differently in Business Expansion

Phoenix holds a top-15 spot for small business growth, while Tucson faces greater challenges with area unemployment rates.

Updated on Oct. 21, 2026 in Regional Economics

Isometric editorial illustration of two distinct geometric architectural forms in a desert environment, symbolizing contrasting business growth metrics.
A new report from Clarify Capital ranks Phoenix 13th and Tucson 49th among U.S. metropolitan areas for small business expansion and growth. AI Illustration. Upload story photo >

Live Poll

Do you consider regional economic growth rankings when deciding whether to expand your business locally?

Phoenix ranks 13th among 56 U.S. metropolitan areas for small business expansion, while Tucson ranks 49th according to a new report from Clarify Capital. The study evaluated metropolitan growth metrics using 2023 business data and July 2026 unemployment figures.

Why it matters

Understanding how local business environments perform helps entrepreneurs and employees identify regional economic shifts in job creation and stability. The rankings highlight distinct growth trajectories across Arizona's two largest metropolitan hubs.

Phoenix achieved a 4th-place national ranking for new business entries compared to all 56 surveyed areas. Meanwhile, Tucson placed 52nd for unemployment figures, highlighting a stark contrast in localized labor market conditions.

The players

Clarify Capital

A financial services provider that produces research on small business growth and economic metrics.

The details

Researchers determined these rankings by analyzing one-year employment change, net job creation, and business entry and exit rates. Employment growth was the primary driver of the final index, which helps measure the vitality of local small business ecosystems. While Phoenix saw strong establishment entries, it also ranked 48th for business exits, compared to Tucson, which ranked 18th for establishment exits.

Timeline

  1. 2023 was the data period for business entry and exit rates.

  2. July 2026 was the data period for preliminary unemployment figures.

Money Landscape

This study aligns with broader national trends showing varied recovery speeds across major metropolitan areas. Phoenix sits in the top tier of expansion, while Tucson reflects the ongoing challenges found in cities with higher unemployment and exit rates.

Business owners should review these rankings to assess the competitiveness of their local market for hiring and growth potential. Prospective employees may find value in comparing job stability metrics between Phoenix and Tucson when planning career moves.

The takeaway

The gap between Phoenix and Tucson highlights the importance of analyzing specific local indicators like unemployment and exit rates before making business decisions. Track quarterly state unemployment reports to monitor how these regional figures evolve over time.

Further reading

Explore more trends affecting local markets in the Regional Economics section.

Source note: This article includes information reported by Fountain Hills Times.

Live Poll

Do you consider regional economic growth rankings when deciding whether to expand your business locally?