S&P DJI and Kalshi Partner on New Prediction Indices

The agreement allows investors to trade contracts linked to new benchmarks tracking economic and political outcomes.

Updated on Oct. 26, 2026 in Stock Markets

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S&P Dow Jones Indices and prediction market Kalshi have announced a partnership to develop new financial products based on event-prediction data. AI Illustration. Upload story photo >

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S&P Dow Jones Indices and prediction market platform Kalshi have signed a preferred-provider agreement to collaborate on new financial products. The deal allows for event contracts to settle against S&P DJI benchmarks while enabling the creation of new indices derived from Kalshi prediction data.

Why it matters

This partnership aims to broaden the reach of prediction markets, which allow participants to bet on the outcomes of economic, political, and sporting events. By integrating these projections with established benchmarks, both companies seek to increase retail and institutional demand for event-based financial products.

The agreement formalizes a new link between an established index provider and a prediction market platform to create benchmarks tracking economic and political outcomes. Details regarding the volume of projected contracts or the launch schedule remain unannounced.

The players

S&P Dow Jones Indices

A major global provider of financial market indices that serves as a benchmark for investment products.

Kalshi

A prediction market platform that enables users to trade contracts based on the outcomes of real-world events.

The details

The partnership allows Kalshi to list event contracts that settle directly against official index values maintained by S&P DJI, providing a standardized reference point for these bets. Simultaneously, S&P DJI plans to incorporate data from Kalshi's prediction market to construct entirely new indices. These indexes will track a variety of events spanning economics, politics, and sports, creating a novel category of financial instruments for market participants.

Timeline

  1. The agreement between S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi was signed on October 26, 2026.

Money Landscape

This deal signals a shift in the market for event-based financial products, moving them closer to traditional investment infrastructure. It follows a trend of increasing institutional interest in alternative data sources to capture broader societal and economic sentiment.

Investors looking for exposure to prediction-based assets may eventually have more standardized options available through this partnership. Before engaging with event contracts, consider the high-risk nature of these products and consult with a qualified financial advisor regarding your portfolio strategy.

The takeaway

The collaboration marks a bridge between traditional financial benchmarks and non-traditional prediction markets. Readers interested in emerging asset classes should monitor future regulatory updates and index performance disclosures from these firms.

Further reading

For broader trends affecting how new financial products are formed, visit our Stock Markets section.

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Do you trust financial prediction markets to provide accurate information for your investment decisions?