Texas Taxable Property Values Projected to Rise in 2026

State property values are estimated to hit $4.33 trillion, a 5.07% increase for Texas property owners.

Updated on Oct. 15, 2026 in Taxes

Isometric editorial illustration of a modern suburban house with limestone and brick walls, symbolizing Texas residential property valuation projections.
Texas property values are projected to reach $4.33 trillion in 2026, marking a 5.07% increase for homeowners and property investors statewide. AI Illustration. Upload story photo >

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The Texas Comptroller estimates that statewide taxable property values will reach $4.33 trillion in 2026, up from $4.12 trillion in 2025. This rise follows a period of stability in taxable values across Texas school districts.

Why it matters

Changes in total taxable property value impact the overall assessment landscape for Texas homeowners and property investors. Understanding these shifts is crucial for households as they plan their property tax budgets and evaluate current exemptions.

The 2026 statewide taxable value is projected at $4.33 trillion, a 5.07% rise over the $4.12 trillion estimate for 2025. These official estimates reflect broader economic and market trends alongside certified data from the majority of school districts.

The players

Texas Comptroller

The state official responsible for collecting taxes and providing financial estimates regarding state property valuations.

The details

The Comptroller calculated these figures by aggregating preliminary 2026 appraisal district data, recent economic trends, and historical valuation patterns. The current landscape is supported by a $140,000 school district homestead exemption and a temporary 20% appraisal cap for certain nonhomestead properties. These policy tools are designed to temper the effect of rising property valuations on individual taxpayer burdens.

Timeline

  1. 2025 tax year: Statewide taxable property value reached $4.12 trillion.

  2. 2026 tax year: Estimated taxable property value reaches $4.33 trillion.

  3. 2027 tax year: Projected taxable property value growth of 2.53%.

  4. 2028 tax year: Projected taxable property value growth of 5.66%.

  5. 2028-29 biennium: Period for which property value figures are used.

Money Landscape

The Texas school district homestead exemption continues to provide a buffer for residents despite the projected 5.07% rise in statewide taxable property values. This growth forecast marks a shift following the period of valuation stability observed in 2025.

Homeowners should monitor their local property appraisal notices to see how these statewide trends align with their specific property's valuation. Discuss any concerns about your property tax burden with a local tax professional to understand your eligibility for homestead exemptions.

The takeaway

Rising taxable values could eventually shift the total tax burden across the state, even with existing exemptions in place. Property owners should review their most recent tax statement and contact their local appraisal district to ensure their records reflect accurate property information.

Further reading

For more on navigating state and local tax assessments, visit Texas Taxes.

Source note: This article includes information reported by Quitman agrees for county to collect its property taxes - Wood County Monitor.

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